Herrera FC vs Centenario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
AZU
0 - 0
SUN
37%
28%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 0
AZU
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 0
AZU
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AZU
1 - 1
OES
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SMA
2 - 1
AZU
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Centenario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CEN
0 - 3
NAC
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 0
SMA
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 0
COL
55%
26%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CEN
1 - 1
SUN
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
OES
1 - 1
CEN
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |