WC Qual. Europe Grupo A. Jor. 3

Azerbaijan vs Serbia analysis

Azerbaijan Serbia
59 ELO 85
-21.7% Tilt -12.3%
1620º General ELO ranking 121º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
13.6%
Azerbaijan
26.4%
Draw
60%
Serbia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
Azerbaijan
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
26.4%
60%
Win probability
Serbia
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
19.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.6%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Azerbaijan
+45%
+6%
Serbia

ELO progression

Azerbaijan
Serbia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2021
QAT
Catar
2 - 1
Azerbaijan
AZE
81%
14%
5%
60 83 23 0
24 Mar. 2021
PRT
Portugal
1 - 0
Azerbaijan
AZE
92%
7%
2%
60 92 32 0
17 Nov. 2020
LUX
Luxembourg
0 - 0
Azerbaijan
AZE
32%
26%
43%
60 53 7 0
14 Nov. 2020
AZE
Azerbaijan
0 - 0
Montenegro
MNE
24%
27%
50%
60 72 12 0
11 Nov. 2020
SVN
Slovenia
0 - 0
Azerbaijan
AZE
74%
18%
9%
60 79 19 0

Matches

Serbia
Serbia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Mar. 2021
SRB
Serbia
2 - 2
Portugal
PRT
16%
22%
62%
85 92 7 0
24 Mar. 2021
SRB
Serbia
3 - 2
Ireland
IRL
53%
24%
23%
85 85 0 0
29 Jan. 2021
PAN
Panama
0 - 0
Serbia
SRB
28%
28%
44%
85 79 6 0
25 Jan. 2021
DOM
Dominican Republic
0 - 0
Serbia
SRB
12%
22%
66%
85 54 31 0
18 Nov. 2020
SRB
Serbia
5 - 0
Russia
RUS
32%
24%
44%
84 87 3 +1
X