Azerbaijan vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SRB
3 - 1
AZE
83%
12%
5%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AZE
0 - 3
IRL
15%
27%
57%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
AZE
0 - 3
PRT
1%
12%
87%
|
59 | 92 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
IRL
1 - 1
AZE
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
LUX
2 - 1
AZE
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
PRT
5 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
54 | 93 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
LUX
0 - 1
SRB
16%
26%
58%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
LUX
1 - 1
QAT
13%
21%
65%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SRB
4 - 1
LUX
82%
13%
6%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
LUX
2 - 1
AZE
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |