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UEFA Nations League. Liga C, Matchday 6

Azerbaijan vs Kazakhstan analysis

Azerbaijan Kazakhstan
51 ELO 52
-31% Tilt -14%
1198º General ELO ranking 1132º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35%
Azerbaijan
32.3%
Draw
32.7%
Kazakhstan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
Azerbaiyán
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
32.3%
Draw
0-0
15.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.3%
32.7%
Win probability
Kazajistán
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Basic stats

63
37
POS
19
0
SOT
10
0
COR
3
0
GF
0
3
GC
9
7
FRK
51
52
ELO
1
0.9
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Azerbaijan
Their league position
Kazakhstan
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
12º
13
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected probabilities
Azerbaijan
Kazakhstan