Azerbaijan vs Kyrgyzstan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
AZE
1 - 1
MKD
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
AZE
0 - 1
BLR
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
AZE
0 - 0
MDA
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
DEU
5 - 1
AZE
95%
5%
1%
|
62 | 94 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
AZE
1 - 2
CZE
14%
23%
63%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Kyrgyzstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
KGZ
2 - 1
IND
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
KGZ
5 - 1
MMR
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
BRN
0 - 4
KGZ
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
KGZ
3 - 0
MNG
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 4
KGZ
14%
22%
64%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |