Azam FC vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azam FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
AZA
3 - 0
IFC
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MWA
0 - 0
AZA
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
KAG
1 - 2
AZA
32%
30%
39%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
AZA
0 - 0
TAN
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
AZA
2 - 1
MBE
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MTI
0 - 2
GFC
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
MTI
0 - 0
BUM
32%
32%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
YOU
1 - 0
MTI
68%
20%
11%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
MTI
1 - 1
IFC
42%
29%
30%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
SIM
2 - 0
MTI
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |