Ligi Kuu Bara . Jor. 19

Azam FC vs Mbeya City analysis

Azam FC Mbeya City
60 ELO 57
7.3% Tilt -4.4%
2176º General ELO ranking 21964º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
52.1%
Azam FC
25.5%
Draw
22.4%
Mbeya City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
Azam FC
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.4%
Win probability
Mbeya City
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Azam FC
+41%
-4%
Mbeya City

Points and table prediction

Azam FC
Their league position
Mbeya City
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
31
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Young Africans
78
78
100%
Simba SC
73
73
100%
Azam FC
59
59
100%
Singida Big Stars
54
55
100%
Namungo
39
40
87%
Ihefu
36
37
63%
Geita Gold
37
37
0%
Tanzania Prisons
37
37
0%
Dodoma
37
37
0%
Kagera Sugar
11º
35
36
10º
29%
Mtibwa Sugar
10º
35
35
11º
53%
Coastal Union
12º
33
33
12º
57.5%
Mbeya City
13º
31
32
13º
29.5%
KMC
14º
29
30
14º
72%
AS Polisi
15º
25
25
15º
100%
Ruvu Shooting
16º
20
20
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Azam FC
Mbeya City
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
CAF Confederation Cup
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 42.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 57.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Azam FC
Mbeya City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Azam FC
Azam FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Dec. 2022
AZA
Azam FC
2 - 3
Young Africans
YOU
47%
27%
27%
60 60 0 0
21 Dec. 2022
GGF
Geita Gold
1 - 1
Azam FC
AZA
44%
27%
29%
60 59 1 0
16 Dec. 2022
KAG
Kagera Sugar
2 - 2
Azam FC
AZA
32%
30%
38%
60 58 2 0
05 Dec. 2022
POL
AS Polisi
0 - 1
Azam FC
AZA
22%
29%
49%
60 53 7 0
27 Nov. 2022
AZA
Azam FC
3 - 2
Coastal Union
COA
57%
25%
18%
60 55 5 0

Matches

Mbeya City
Mbeya City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Dec. 2022
MBE
Mbeya City
1 - 2
Tanzania Prisons
TAN
54%
28%
18%
58 54 4 0
22 Dec. 2022
MBE
Mbeya City
1 - 1
Singida Big Stars
SBS
35%
29%
36%
58 60 2 0
18 Dec. 2022
MBE
Mbeya City
1 - 2
Dodoma
DJF
46%
29%
25%
58 53 5 0
01 Dec. 2022
KMC
KMC
1 - 1
Mbeya City
MBE
46%
27%
27%
58 57 1 0
26 Nov. 2022
YOU
Young Africans
2 - 0
Mbeya City
MBE
52%
25%
23%
58 60 2 0
X