AZ Alkmaar vs RKC Waalwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
AZA
1 - 1
SLI
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 0
AZA
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SLI
0 - 1
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
AZA
1 - 1
UTR
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GAE
2 - 1
AZA
24%
24%
53%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 1
RKC
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
RKC
1 - 3
NEC
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
RKC
5 - 2
UTR
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GAE
2 - 2
RKC
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
RKC
2 - 0
PSV
18%
22%
60%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |