AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
TWE
3 - 0
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ZWO
1 - 1
AZA
42%
25%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
AZA
2 - 0
FCD
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
AZA
0 - 3
LIE
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
AZA
0 - 3
UTR
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 0
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HER
0 - 3
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
BRU
1 - 0
HER
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VIT
3 - 0
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
HER
0 - 3
BVO
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |