AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
UTR
2 - 1
AZA
25%
23%
51%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
5 - 0
AZA
56%
21%
22%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 2
ZWO
72%
17%
10%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 6
AZA
3%
9%
87%
|
82 | 35 | 47 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 3
AZA
19%
22%
59%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 4
AJA
20%
22%
59%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 5
SCH
23%
22%
55%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 1
ADO
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
KAT
0 - 1
SCH
4%
9%
86%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 3
SCH
27%
23%
50%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |