AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BVO
1 - 3
AZA
29%
24%
48%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
AZA
1 - 0
JAB
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
AZA
5 - 0
GAE
67%
21%
13%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
TWE
3 - 1
AZA
14%
21%
65%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
HER
3 - 2
AZA
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
UTR
3 - 2
SPA
72%
17%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AJA
0 - 1
UTR
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UTR
5 - 1
ZWO
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NEC
0 - 3
UTR
16%
22%
63%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
UTR
2 - 2
RKC
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |