AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
52.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
AZA
2 - 1
ZWO
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
ANZ
0 - 0
AZA
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TWE
2 - 1
AZA
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
AZA
1 - 0
ANZ
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
AZA
4 - 0
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
AJA
13%
20%
67%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 1
BVO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FEY
1 - 2
AJA
25%
23%
53%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
RBS
3 - 1
AJA
26%
23%
51%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 0
AZA
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | +1 |