AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
66.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1987 |
ZWO
3 - 1
AZA
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
AZA
2 - 1
BOS
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
FEY
8 - 0
AZA
70%
18%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
AZA
2 - 2
ADO
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1987 |
AZA
1 - 1
UTR
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1987 |
AJA
1 - 0
RJC
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1987 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
14%
21%
65%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1987 |
AJA
5 - 2
ZWO
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
BOS
1 - 4
AJA
13%
22%
66%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
AJA
1 - 3
FEY
77%
13%
9%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |