Jong AZ vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
50.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
RJC
0 - 1
ALK
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
ALK
2 - 4
BVO
11%
18%
71%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 2
ALK
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
ALK
4 - 0
FCD
58%
20%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
ALK
2 - 1
BOS
39%
23%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 0
FCD
79%
13%
8%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
TEL
1 - 1
EXC
37%
25%
39%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
BVO
7 - 2
EXC
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |