Ayutthaya United vs Chiangrai United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayutthaya United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KRA
2 - 1
AYU
15%
22%
63%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AYU
2 - 1
PAT
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
THA
2 - 4
AYU
5%
12%
84%
|
48 | 11 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
RAY
0 - 1
AYU
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AYU
2 - 1
CHI
55%
23%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chiangrai United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
BUR
4 - 1
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
CHO
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 4
CHI
7%
16%
77%
|
60 | 24 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SIN
1 - 1
CHI
48%
25%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 0
NAK
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |