Ayrón vs EMD Santillana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayrón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
REV
1 - 0
AYR
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
AYR
1 - 3
TEX
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
COL
1 - 3
AYR
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
AYR
2 - 1
74%
16%
9%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
MER
0 - 2
AYR
34%
25%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 1
SEL
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
GAM
3 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 3
COM
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
4 - 2
RIN
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
REV
1 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |