Ayr United vs Ross County FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
50%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 1
AYR
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
AYR
1 - 2
QOS
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
DUN
4 - 0
AYR
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
AYR
2 - 1
ALL
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
AYR
1 - 1
ARB
54%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ross County FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
STJ
1 - 1
ROS
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
ROS
1 - 2
MHE
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
LIV
4 - 0
ROS
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
ROS
1 - 0
KIL
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
ROS
2 - 1
HIB
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |