Ayr United vs Hamilton Academical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
8º
5º
31
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
50% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
QUE
2 - 3
AYR
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AYR
0 - 0
ARB
22%
28%
50%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
STJ
1 - 0
AYR
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 1
AYR
42%
23%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
AYR
0 - 3
QOS
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
HAM
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 1
GRE
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 1
QUE
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 3
HAM
28%
24%
48%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
5 - 2
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |