Ayr United vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
2 - 0
AYR
35%
26%
38%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
COV
0 - 3
AYR
35%
23%
42%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
COV
0 - 5
AYR
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
AYR
2 - 2
ARB
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AYR
1 - 0
HAM
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 1
ALB
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
STE
2 - 0
ELG
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
ELG
2 - 1
DUF
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 1
BLA
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 2
EAS
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |