Ayr United vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
AYR
3 - 0
DFC
83%
13%
5%
|
56 | 21 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
AYR
2 - 1
STR
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
AYR
1 - 1
DUM
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
AYR
3 - 1
PAR
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
QOS
1 - 1
AYR
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
ELG
0 - 4
RFC
28%
21%
52%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 3
ELG
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
KEI
0 - 5
ELG
15%
20%
66%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ELG
2 - 0
FRA
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
ELG
6 - 0
LOS
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |