Scottish Championship . Jor. 5

Ayr United vs Dundee analysis

Ayr United Dundee
55 ELO 65
-5.7% Tilt 7%
2223º General ELO ranking 959º
23º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
24.5%
Ayr United
27.4%
Draw
48.2%
Dundee

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
Ayr United
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
48.2%
Win probability
Dundee
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Ayr United
Their league position
Dundee
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
61
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dundee
61
61
100%
Queen's Park
59
59
100%
Inverness CT
55
58
50%
Partick Thistle
57
57
74%
Ayr United
55
55
50%
Greenock Morton
55
55
76%
Raith Rovers
43
43
100%
Arbroath
34
34
100%
Cove Rangers
32
32
100%
Hamilton Academical
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ayr United
Dundee
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
50% 0%
Mid-table
50% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ayr United
Dundee
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ayr United
Ayr United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
COV
Cove Rangers
1 - 2
Ayr United
AYR
61%
22%
18%
55 62 7 0
13 Aug. 2022
AYR
Ayr United
2 - 2
Hamilton Academical
HAM
35%
28%
37%
55 57 2 0
05 Aug. 2022
QUE
Queen's Park
2 - 3
Ayr United
AYR
45%
27%
28%
54 57 3 +1
30 Jul. 2022
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
22%
28%
50%
54 67 13 0
23 Jul. 2022
STJ
St. Johnstone
1 - 0
Ayr United
AYR
62%
23%
15%
55 70 15 -1

Matches

Dundee
Dundee
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2022
GRE
Greenock Morton
0 - 0
Dundee
DUN
26%
27%
47%
65 57 8 0
12 Aug. 2022
DUN
Dundee
4 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
45%
27%
28%
65 66 1 0
06 Aug. 2022
RAI
Raith Rovers
0 - 1
Dundee
DUN
40%
26%
34%
65 61 4 0
30 Jul. 2022
DUN
Dundee
2 - 3
Partick Thistle
PAR
55%
24%
21%
65 59 6 0
23 Jul. 2022
DUN
Dundee
5 - 1
Forfar Athletic
FOR
80%
14%
6%
65 48 17 0
X