Ayr United vs Dundee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
AYR
0 - 0
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ALL
0 - 2
AYR
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
AYR
1 - 2
GRE
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
AYR
1 - 2
STJ
39%
24%
37%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
AYR
41%
25%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 0
ALL
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
QOS
0 - 1
DUN
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 0
PAR
38%
27%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 1
DUN
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 0
DUN
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |