Ayr United vs Darvel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
AYR
2 - 1
STR
57%
23%
21%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
AYR
1 - 1
DUM
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
AYR
3 - 1
PAR
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
QOS
1 - 1
AYR
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
AYR
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Darvel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ARB
3 - 0
DFC
84%
11%
5%
|
22 | 65 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
DFC
2 - 2
BRE
12%
15%
73%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 1
DFC
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
STR
0 - 1
DFC
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 49 | 30 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
KEI
1 - 2
DFC
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |