Aylesbury vs Berkhamsted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
62.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
AYL
0 - 4
HAT
23%
22%
55%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
AYL
1 - 0
OXH
51%
21%
28%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ARD
3 - 2
AYL
78%
14%
9%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NSA
8 - 1
AYL
91%
7%
3%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
AYL
1 - 1
HAD
9%
16%
76%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
Berkhamsted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
BER
1 - 2
NOR
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BER
0 - 1
STN
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
AYL
0 - 1
BER
17%
22%
61%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BER
2 - 3
HAR
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
WAR
3 - 3
BER
43%
24%
33%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |