Aylesbury vs Baldock Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
33.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
HAR
2 - 2
AYL
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 0
AYL
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ARL
1 - 0
AYL
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 2
AYL
34%
23%
43%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AYL
0 - 6
NSA
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Baldock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LON
1 - 1
BAL
39%
22%
39%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 4
NSA
11%
16%
73%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
0 - 3
BRU
53%
21%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ARD
1 - 2
BAL
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 2
MKI
39%
22%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |