Aylesbury United vs Kempston Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
19º
15º
34
1º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 41% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 59% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AYL
1 - 3
BIG
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
FCR
4 - 1
AYL
40%
23%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 0
AYL
62%
20%
19%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
AYL
0 - 3
EVE
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
AYL
0 - 1
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Kempston Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
KEM
0 - 1
KID
35%
23%
42%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KEM
2 - 1
FCR
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KEM
3 - 2
HER
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
KEM
0 - 1
DER
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KEM
1 - 2
BED
19%
21%
60%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |