Aylesbury United vs Highworth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
49.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
19º
15º
28
6º
19º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 1
AYL
62%
19%
18%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
AYL
0 - 1
DID
20%
21%
59%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
AYL
1 - 3
KEM
35%
23%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AYL
1 - 3
BIG
18%
22%
60%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
FCR
4 - 1
AYL
40%
23%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Highworth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HIG
3 - 3
HAR
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
HIG
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
HIG
1 - 0
THA
27%
24%
48%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HIG
2 - 3
HER
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 2
HIG
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |