Aylesbury United vs Ardley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
53%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
AYL
2 - 0
KID
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ASH
0 - 2
AYL
7%
12%
81%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BED
2 - 1
AYL
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
AYL
0 - 1
BER
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
AYL
40%
23%
37%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ardley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
ARD
5 - 2
RIS
19%
20%
62%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 1
POT
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ARD
3 - 2
WAE
72%
17%
12%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
TRI
2 - 1
ARD
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ARD
0 - 1
DUN
73%
15%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |