AWC vs Purmersteijn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
RKZ
5 - 3
AWC
52%
20%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
DEM
3 - 3
AWC
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AWC
6 - 3
SIL
41%
23%
35%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +3 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
AWC
0 - 1
BEQ
55%
20%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SDO
5 - 0
AWC
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Purmersteijn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
PUR
2 - 2
DEM
38%
23%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PUR
0 - 0
ALC
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HOO
4 - 3
PUR
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
PUR
0 - 1
HOL
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
DEB
0 - 3
PUR
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |