AWC vs Achilles 1894 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
57.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AWC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 3
AWC
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AWC
4 - 1
MSC
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
RKH
2 - 4
AWC
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
AWC
2 - 5
FWO
39%
21%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
HOO
2 - 1
AWC
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Achilles 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ACH
0 - 0
PUR
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 1
ACH
26%
23%
51%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ACH
3 - 1
HOO
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SDO
4 - 2
ACH
20%
22%
59%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ACH
4 - 0
DEB
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |