SDZ vs Assendelft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
12º
11º
21
10º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SDZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LSV
2 - 1
SDZ
45%
21%
34%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SDZ
2 - 1
13%
15%
72%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SVD
1 - 2
SDZ
3%
9%
88%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SDZ
2 - 0
FWO
20%
19%
61%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
UIT
1 - 0
SDZ
34%
21%
45%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Assendelft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ASS
3 - 2
UIT
60%
19%
21%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SVD
2 - 2
ASS
5%
11%
84%
|
18 | 5 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ASS
1 - 0
RKS
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
IVV
3 - 0
ASS
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ASS
1 - 5
VVK
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |