Avro vs Lower Breck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
2 - 0
MAC
15%
20%
65%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SQU
2 - 3
AFC
47%
21%
32%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
CON
1 - 2
AFC
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 1
PRH
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 2
CHA
55%
21%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lower Breck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
LBR
1 - 2
BUR
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
LBR
4 - 0
CHA
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LBR
4 - 3
WIN
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
RUN
2 - 2
LBR
64%
18%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
PRH
3 - 1
LBR
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |