Avranches vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ROD
1 - 0
AVR
20%
27%
53%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
AVR
0 - 0
TOU
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
AVR
22%
26%
53%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
AVR
1 - 0
PAU
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
LMU
1 - 1
AVR
30%
26%
43%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
QUE
0 - 1
CHA
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
MGG
1 - 2
QUE
31%
26%
44%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
QUE
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 1
QUE
34%
27%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
QUE
1 - 2
TRO
29%
23%
48%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |