Avranches vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
LES
2 - 1
AVR
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
AVR
3 - 1
FON
54%
25%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ROM
4 - 3
AVR
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AVR
2 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 1
AVR
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PON
2 - 0
LAV
36%
28%
36%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAU
0 - 0
PON
55%
25%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LES
1 - 1
PON
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
PON
2 - 0
FON
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ROM
0 - 0
PON
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |