Avranches vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
AVR
1 - 0
LUS
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
AVR
2 - 0
CON
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 3
AVR
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
AVR
0 - 0
PAU
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
RED
2 - 2
AVR
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
LYO
2 - 2
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
CON
0 - 1
LYO
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
LYO
1 - 2
CON
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 1
LYO
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
LYO
1 - 2
LES
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |