Avranches vs Change analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
AVR
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
AVR
2 - 2
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
AVR
0 - 1
FLE
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
AVR
38%
25%
38%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ANG
1 - 1
AVR
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Change
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 0
FLE
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
CHA
57%
23%
21%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
39%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
DIV
0 - 2
CHA
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MON
3 - 0
CHA
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |