Avranches U19 vs Châteauroux U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
13º
7º
26
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 1
AVR
61%
21%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 1
LOR
37%
22%
42%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ANG
2 - 0
AVR
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 5
NAN
14%
18%
68%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STA
3 - 1
AVR
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Châteauroux U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CON
1 - 1
CHA
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
BOR
39%
25%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 0
CHA
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
ANG
22%
23%
55%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NAN
4 - 0
CHA
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |