Avranches II vs Bayeux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
AVR
1 - 0
DIE
25%
21%
54%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
MON
6 - 1
AVR
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
AVR
0 - 1
DIV
66%
18%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 1
AVR
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
AVR
0 - 0
SAI
40%
22%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
BAY
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CAE
0 - 1
BAY
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
ALE
4 - 0
BAY
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
BAY
1 - 3
OIS
6%
12%
82%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
EVR
1 - 2
BAY
80%
14%
6%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +2 |