Avondale Heights vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
82.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.3%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avondale Heights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
HEU
2 - 3
AVH
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AVH
6 - 2
SOU
61%
20%
18%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
AVH
4 - 1
DEV
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AVH
1 - 2
BEN
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
AVH
4 - 3
MEL
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
FNQ
1 - 2
SYD
4%
11%
85%
|
74 | 21 | 53 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
ROC
2 - 4
SYD
6%
13%
81%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SYD
2 - 3
MEL
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
SYD
0 - 0
SHA
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
SYD
1 - 0
MEL
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -6 |