National Premier Victoria. Jor. 26

Avondale Heights vs South Melbourne analysis

Avondale Heights South Melbourne
37 ELO 38
-1.4% Tilt 5.1%
4616º General ELO ranking 5034º
14º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
44.8%
Avondale Heights
24.9%
Draw
30.3%
South Melbourne

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
Avondale Heights
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.3%
Win probability
South Melbourne
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Avondale Heights
+34%
+28%
South Melbourne

ELO progression

Avondale Heights
South Melbourne
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Avondale Heights
Avondale Heights
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2022
AVH
Avondale Heights
2 - 2
Brisbane Roar
BRI
6%
15%
79%
36 67 31 0
14 Aug. 2022
HEU
Heidelberg Utd
1 - 4
Avondale Heights
AVH
42%
23%
35%
35 34 1 +1
30 Jul. 2022
DAC
Dandenong City
3 - 1
Avondale Heights
AVH
10%
15%
75%
37 18 19 -2
26 Jul. 2022
AVH
Avondale Heights
1 - 2
Port Melbourne Sharks
POR
53%
24%
23%
37 36 1 0
21 Jul. 2022
MIA
Mindil Aces
0 - 6
Avondale Heights
AVH
8%
13%
78%
37 10 27 0

Matches

South Melbourne
South Melbourne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Aug. 2022
SOU
South Melbourne
1 - 0
Dandenong City
DAC
80%
13%
7%
38 23 15 0
30 Jul. 2022
POR
Port Melbourne Sharks
2 - 1
South Melbourne
SOU
39%
26%
35%
38 37 1 0
23 Jul. 2022
SOU
South Melbourne
2 - 0
Altona Magic
ALM
86%
10%
4%
38 19 19 0
16 Jul. 2022
SOU
South Melbourne
1 - 0
Oakleigh Cannons
OAK
28%
26%
46%
36 44 8 +2
09 Jul. 2022
SOU
South Melbourne
2 - 1
Dandenong Thunder SC
DAN
62%
20%
19%
36 30 6 0
X