Avia B vs Casserres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2015 |
AVI
2 - 2
PUI
47%
21%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 2
AVI
30%
23%
47%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
AVI
3 - 2
PUI
69%
17%
15%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
AVI
3 - 0
NAV
66%
18%
17%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 2
AVI
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 0
NAV
47%
22%
31%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
NAV
4 - 2
CAS
35%
22%
43%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 2
PUI
26%
22%
53%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SUR
4 - 4
CAS
61%
19%
20%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |