Avenir Foot Lozère vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
72.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avenir Foot Lozère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
OLY
0 - 0
AVE
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 1
BEA
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TOU
1 - 0
AVE
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
AVE
0 - 0
MON
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
AVE
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
RED
0 - 3
BEZ
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
RED
67%
21%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
RED
0 - 4
ORL
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
CLE
0 - 0
RED
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
RED
2 - 0
AJA
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |