Aveley vs Grays Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 4
AVE
20%
21%
59%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
AVE
2 - 1
YEL
62%
20%
19%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
STO
2 - 1
AVE
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
AVE
4 - 2
WHI
88%
9%
4%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
AVE
5 - 0
FEL
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 0
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BUR
2 - 2
GRA
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GRA
2 - 2
TIL
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
HTG
0 - 1
GRA
51%
22%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
WHI
1 - 1
GRA
15%
21%
64%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |