Aveley vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
AVE
0 - 2
HEY
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
AVE
4 - 0
SOH
77%
14%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 2
AVE
25%
24%
52%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
AVE
6 - 0
YEL
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
HEY
1 - 2
AVE
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
WEL
3 - 2
CHM
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 1
CHM
33%
26%
42%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
CHM
0 - 3
WEA
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
WEL
2 - 0
CHM
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CHM
2 - 0
WOK
36%
24%
40%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |