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Liga III. Serie 9, Matchday 11

Avântul Reghin vs Arieşul Turda analysis

Avântul Reghin Arieşul Turda
16 ELO 25
33% Tilt 47%
8329º General ELO ranking 5913º
196º Country ELO ranking 133º
ELO win probability
44.7%
Avântul Reghin
22.4%
Draw
32.9%
Arieşul Turda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
Avântul Reghin
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.9%
Win probability
Arieşul Turda
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Avântul Reghin
+97%
+40%
Arieşul Turda

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Metalurgistul Cugir
41
41
50%
Unirea Dej
41
41
50%
Avântul Reghin
31
31
100%
Arieşul Turda
26
26
100%
Unirea Ungheni
24
24
100%
Hunedoara
23
23
50%
FC Unirea Alba Iulia
23
23
50%
Sănătatea Cluj
21
21
100%
Ocna Mureș
16
16
100%
Industria Galda
10º
6
6
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Avântul Reghin
Arieşul Turda
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Arieşul Turda
ARI
Avântul Reghin
AVA
Industria Galda
IGA
Hunedoara
HUN
Unirea Dej
UNI
Metalurgistul Cugir
MET
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Avântul Reghin
Avântul Reghin
1%
X%
2%
ELO AVA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2021
REC
Dacia Maramureș
2 - 1
Avântul Reghin
AVA
51%
26%
23%
243 451 208 -21
22 Nov. 2020
IGA
Industria Galda
1 - 3
Avântul Reghin
AVA
47%
27%
26%
240 283 43 +2
07 Nov. 2020
AVA
Avântul Reghin
1 - 2
Unirea Dej
UNI
47%
27%
26%
242 179 63 -2
31 Oct. 2020
CSO
Ocna Mureș
1 - 4
Avântul Reghin
AVA
46%
27%
27%
239 224 -15 +3
23 Oct. 2020
AVA
Avântul Reghin
5 - 0
Unirea Ungheni
UNI
46%
27%
27%
236 290 -54 +3

Matches

Arieşul Turda
Arieşul Turda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ARI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Nov. 2020
ARI
Arieşul Turda
4 - 1
Ocna Mureș
CSO
47%
27%
26%
314 219 95 +3
06 Nov. 2020
ARI
Arieşul Turda
3 - 3
Unirea Ungheni
UNI
47%
27%
26%
314 290 24 0
30 Oct. 2020
FCU
FC Unirea Alba Iulia
2 - 1
Arieşul Turda
ARI
47%
27%
26%
316 385 69 -1
27 Oct. 2020
ARI
Arieşul Turda
0 - 0
Hunedoara
HUN
45%
27%
28%
319 323 -4 0
23 Oct. 2020
ARI
Arieşul Turda
1 - 2
Sănătatea Cluj
SNT
47%
27%
26%
318 269 49 -2