Avanti vs Merelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avanti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
WOL
1 - 2
AVA
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 1
VOO
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
JON
0 - 1
AVA
45%
24%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ZEL
1 - 3
AVA
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
EEN
0 - 3
AVA
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MER
0 - 0
PEP
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
WET
2 - 3
MER
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MER
1 - 1
SVE
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
HWM
1 - 0
MER
20%
23%
56%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
MER
2 - 0
OOS
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |