Avangard Kursk vs Mordovia Saransk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SKA
1 - 0
AVA
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 0
BAL
46%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FAK
0 - 0
AVA
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
KHI
4 - 1
AVA
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 1
CHA
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 2
VLA
40%
30%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 0
MOR
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 1
OLY
31%
29%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
AKT
1 - 1
MOR
27%
21%
52%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 3
CHE
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |