Avaí vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2011 |
CEA
0 - 3
AVA
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 2
COR
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 1
AVA
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
AVA
1 - 3
SCI
32%
26%
43%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 1
AVA
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 0
BAH
66%
22%
12%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
VAS
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2011 |
COT
3 - 4
SAO
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 2
ATL
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
SCI
0 - 3
SAO
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |