Avaí vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
38.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 0
AVA
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
AVA
2 - 1
NAU
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
ANA
2 - 0
AVA
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
AVA
2 - 0
ITU
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 0
UNI
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 1
ITU
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIT
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |