Avaí vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GOI
0 - 3
AVA
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
AVA
1 - 1
OES
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 2
AVA
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
AVA
2 - 0
BOA
69%
21%
10%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
COT
1 - 0
AVA
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LON
3 - 2
VIL
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 2
LON
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LON
2 - 1
SAO
55%
25%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
GOI
0 - 0
LON
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
JUV
0 - 0
LON
27%
30%
44%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |